Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 11.624284 13.046303 14.615601 16.483172 18.654529 21.110721 24.115220
2025-10-26 9.917298 11.818812 14.080861 16.997407 20.697708 25.289601 31.504106
2025-11-02 8.644662 10.709166 13.288670 16.798158 21.526726 27.792896 36.925498
2025-11-09 7.694380 9.824830 12.591737 16.522172 22.085164 29.873422 41.969877
2025-11-16 6.986940 9.151383 12.056075 16.338181 22.665419 31.967745 47.277597
2025-11-23 6.337419 8.477933 11.430295 15.921587 22.807806 33.373734 51.684461
2025-11-30 5.888544 8.033988 11.070045 15.828168 23.386863 35.477202 57.531186
2025-12-07 5.358784 7.425941 10.411507 15.203693 23.039021 36.008523 60.703698
2025-12-14 4.858294 6.820969 9.704812 14.428734 22.345765 35.845842 62.541553
2025-12-21 4.531522 6.449604 9.319186 14.121711 22.385341 36.934932 66.919599
2025-12-28 4.628746 6.723972 9.944767 15.513798 25.492552 43.961918 84.610439
2026-01-04 4.496048 6.629749 9.975898 15.903911 26.855353 47.915349 96.710382
2026-01-11 4.195633 6.260082 9.549146 15.489812 26.737485 49.051022 102.997809
2026-01-18 4.086017 6.190230 9.612164 15.951498 28.350627 53.996861 119.710224
2026-01-25 3.871691 5.933178 9.337980 15.768456 28.664201 56.218957 130.154195
2026-02-01 3.664454 5.674331 9.041054 15.513074 28.795515 58.051982 140.067503
2026-02-08 3.488634 5.457405 8.801300 15.342852 29.080808 60.281101 151.755967
2026-02-15 3.293926 5.196765 8.466346 14.957285 28.857558 61.264105 160.047753
2026-02-22 3.158611 5.031070 8.290743 14.870799 29.279379 63.900682 174.356595
2026-03-01 2.963214 4.749920 7.887538 14.292431 28.529998 63.451201 178.426078
2026-03-08 2.761797 4.448919 7.431786 13.574099 27.389792 61.830074 178.099290
2026-03-15 2.632273 4.270029 7.193633 13.289325 27.233929 62.819409 187.434605
2026-03-22 2.713178 4.472871 7.685002 14.579692 30.993279 75.290652 244.931970